Friday, January 7, 2022

Science in India: Progress towards becoming Vishwa-Guru & the Indian Council of Agricultural Research

Science in India: Progress towards becoming Vishwa-Guru & the Indian Council of Agricultural Research

India spends 0.65% of its GDP (~2.6 trillion) on research and development (R&D) continuously after 2014. However, it was 0.81% of GDP in 2005-06. State and Central Government share has shrunk from 35% (in 2010) to 24% (in 2018) and steadily going down. Of the total R&D expenditure, ~37% goes to the health and defense sector and only 2% towards education (https://dst.gov.in/sites/default/files/Research%20and%20Deveopment%20Statistics%202019-20_0.pdf).

 India in comparison to other major economies: As per statistics of 2018 (Tab. 1), USA (2.83% of >20 trillion GDP), China (2.14% of >13 trillion GDP), Japan (3.28% of ~5 trillion GDP), Germany (3.13% of >4 trillion GDP), UK (1.7% of >2.8 trillion GDP), France (2.19% of ~2.8 trillion GDP), Italy (1.39% of >2 trillion GDP), South Korea (4.53 of >1.6 trillion GDP), Canada (1.54% of >1.6 trillion GDP), Russia (0.98%  of >1.5 trillion GDP) and Australia (1.8% of >1.3 trillion GDP), Israel (4.94% of >0.4 trillion GDP). Though India is the 6th biggest economy in the world it is at 13th place in total expenditure on R&D. If we consider per-capita expenditure on R&D, India stands at 19th place with an expenditure of about Rs. 900 per person per year much behind Switzerland spending Rs. 2.16 lakhs per person on R&D in the country.


Major areas of R&D Expenditure in India
: As per statistics for 2017-18, of the 17 billion US$ R&D budget of India, major shares go to DRDO (~32%), space research (~19%), ICAR (~11%), atomic energy (~10%), CSIR (~10%), DST (~7.5%). Of the research funding, 24% goes for basic and 37% for applied research. (https://dst.gov.in/sites/default/files/Research%20and%20Deveopment%20Statistics%202019-20_0.pdf).

According to scientific manpower and infrastructure ICAR is one of the biggest organizations funded publicly. National Agricultural Research System (NARS) under DARE/ICAR consists of 103 Agricultural Research Institutes, 75 Agricultural Universities, 82 All India Coordinated Research Projects/Network Projects, and 11 Agriculture Technology Application Research Institutes ably supported by a network of 721 Krishi Vigyan Kendras. For about Rs. 14065 crores allocated to Agriculture R&D, ICAR received about 7846 crores in 2020 and about 500 crores went to other DARE activities. There are about 5000 scientists out of a total of 17000 employees in the ICAR system.


    From Table 2 it is evident that by spending one rupee on purchasing consumables for research ICAR spends about 10 rupees on administration. My experience says that this expense on administration is largely to safeguard the one rupee from misuse spent on the purchase of the consumables. A great organization with great management by great managers. From the facts, it may be inferred that either scientists in the organization are wasteful or dishonest, and saving that one rupee (the Golden coin) spent by scientists on the purchase of consumables is more valuable than anything else in the organization.
    
    Some more revelations from the annual account audited report of ICAR for 2019-20 are also interesting (https://icar.org.in/sites/default/files/Eng-ICAR-Annual-Account-Audit-report-2019-20.pdf):
1. ICAR earned Rs. 1.9 Crores in form of royalty from research and publications in 2019-20
2. ICAR spent Rs. 4.1 Crores as legal expenses in the same year.
Inference: For earning 48 paise of royalty from research and publications India's one of the Greatest and largest research organizations (ICAR) spends 100 paise on advocates and lawyers as legal expenses probably to safeguard 48 paise. One of the RTIs revealed that ICAR does even not know exactly how many legal litigations are pending and ongoing with ICAR.
    If we further descend to see Institutional performance in budget utilization in the leading institute (as per the statement of the Director on 13-01-2022), the ICAR-Indian Veterinary Research Institute as an example, holding 202 scientists on the roll, of the 340 crores allocated annual budget for 2020-21, >75% went for salary, 13% for administrative expenses and less than one percent (0.935%) i.e., 3.2 crores was spent on research related consumables. In short, for making a research material purchase of one rupee we spend 14 Rs. on administration. The institute awards each year's research degree (Masters and Ph.D.) to 180  students on average, i.e., the total number of researchers in the Institute is 202+180= 382 i.e., less than 84 thousand are available for purchasing research consumables. The quality can be imagined but can't be measured, only 105 research papers are published in 2021 in journals considered worthwhile by the ICAR itself by the Institute holding 166 young scientists and 180 research scholars. 


    Though I am not an expert on administration, it is interesting to note that administrative expenses in ICAR are almost 1.5 times more than operational expenses on research. There are 5000 scientists in ICAR, per scientist expenses on consumables are well below 1.5 lakh per annum while a scientist gets more salary per month than the money available to him for doing research per annum.

            Is there not a need to minimize the administrative charges to increase real expense in research in form of the ability of a scientist to purchase more chemicals and other consumables to do better research?

Is there a need to reduce the number of scientists to reduce expenses on salary in ICAR? The ICAR is an amazing system where scientists are recruited in the same manner of recruitment of soldiers. At the time of recruitment, neither the recruiter nor scientists know what works, for what project, and with what objectives the recruitment and recruits need to justify. In lack of clarity, a lot of scientific manpower goes to waste for years together, I have my example, after my recruitment as principal scientist I was not given a workplace for years unless I asked the Director-General of the ICAR (What for I have been paid the hefty salary per month?).

One very interesting phenomenon or fact with ICAR is that it prepared a hefty draft to double farmers’ income in just three years without increasing its own agriculture income from lakhs of hectares of land with NAARS even by 10% per year despite having 5000 scientists and 17000 employees.

I understand the situation may not be much different in other research organizations in India. I understand that there is a need for large-scale restructuring of the research system in India but it is not possible with political will.

This situation needs a change regarding funding and research management if we have to give the pace to Indian Research in the Public Sector.

Besides research funding, one more move of the Indian Govt is pertinent to be mentioned. There will now be fewer awards to Scientists of India for doing Research, wiping off about 100 award categories for research.




Wednesday, January 5, 2022

COVID-19 Pandemic in Data

 Sometimes I think, what may be the utility of garbage data accumulated globally, in the future, it will misguide our generations and people will laugh at us if we analyze it today. An example is here:

Dear friends, whenever there is an epidemic or pandemic population of the affected region goes down, but COVID-19 is an exception in its era world population kept increasing as usual by 1.1% annually, it was 7.71 billion in 2019, 7.79 billion in 2020 & 7.91 billion in 2021, continuously. The annual death rate (7.6 per thousand) for all 3 years ( 2019 to 2021) remained largely unaffected, so where is the impact of COVID-19?
From 1918-20, Spanish flu led to a 2.1% decrease in the global population in two years but in the Covid-19 era global population increased by 2.2% in two years. The great and historical pandemic of COVID-19 is getting stronger, so be careful.
Is COVID-19 a hoax? Certainly not, but is a pandemic to create panic in favor of greedy pharmaceuticals, tyrant politicians, and much more.
See how #Covid_19 is used to create panic. In comparison to 2019, in 2020 total excess deaths were 873633 (probably in proportion to the increase in population & the 0.76% usual death rate). Let us consider that the same number of deaths as in 2019 also occurred in 2020 and 2021, and also consider that all excess deaths were due to COVID-19, still, the number of deaths attributed 1941762 to COVID-19 is about 1.1 Million in excess over the real death figures. That is people who were to die otherwise for different reasons were also added to the account of #COVID19 & this addition was 1.5 M in 2021, let us see in 2022??? The statistics indicated that many of those who used to die from several other diseases died from COVID-19 in 2020 and 2021. Is it a reality, I'd yes then great covid-19 is reducing the burden of other diseases.
It means #Covid_19 is a plandemic to create panic with the help of some ill-educated medicos, politicians, and media houses.
Dear friends, I have seen people suffering and dying due to Covid-19, and not deny the tragedy we saw in the 2nd wave. But you see the data, none is produced by me, just put together to understand.
It is a mockery of our data system and epidemic management system which works with motives decided by tyrants, it rarely works for general people, who are always on the wrong end.

Herd immunity is not possible with any of the available COVID-19 vaccines in any of the countries. The goodness of the experimental vaccines claimed by WHO and many other Public health agencies proved that it was not true. Israel, the highly boostered nation, and many more heavily vaccinated nations as 99% vaccinated UAE and 95% vaccinated Portugal not only faltered against COVID-19 but performed even worse after the vaccines and vaccination than any of the COVID waves before vaccination. All agencies bluffed us saying that 70% vaccination will create herd immunity but even the 99% could not. This is the tyranny of our system.