Tuesday, December 24, 2019

False statistics of Department of Animal Husbandry and Dairying (DAHD, India) to bluff India and to run FMD and Brucellosis Control Program


PMO Portal for Grievance
Registration Number : DOAHD/E/2019/00555 at https://pgportal.gov.in/NewGrievance/Success
True or False Nationalism of Department of Animal Husbandry and Dairying (DAHD) under the Ministry of Fisheries, Animal Husbandry & Dairying







False statistics of DAHD to bluff India and to run FMD and Brucellosis Control Program to engulf Rs. 13,343 Crore in coming four years
As per the operational manual of Foot and Mouth Disease Control Program (FMD-CP) 2017-18 (http://www.pdfmd.ernet.in/index_files/Content/FMDCP/FMD_CP_Operational_Mannual.pdf) annual direct loss (through reduced production of milk and meat) due to FMD is about 20000 Crore and due to brucellosis is 20400 Crore (https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/25835775). In 2019-20 Rs. 500 Crore funds have been allocated for FMD and Brucellosis control with the aim to complete control of FMD by 2025 with vaccination and its eventual eradication by 2030. This will result in m increased domestic production and ultimately m increased exports of milk and livestock products, and Intensive Brucellosis Control programme in animals for control of Brucellosis will result in effective management of the disease both in animals and humans. For the next 5 years, the government of India allocated Rs. 13,343 crores, and allocation for the Financial Year 2019-20 is to the tune of Rs 2,683 Crore because both of the diseases are causing huge losses (https://pib.gov.in/newsite/PrintRelease.aspx?relid=190624). As per the statement of the minister in the upper house, FMD and Brucellosis outbreaks and disease cases in the last three years were:















Nobody knows why these two official figures varied and you can’t question the authority for the disparity as they have hundreds of answers for the same. From the data given at different time and place even it is not possible to understand that who is telling truth and who is the liar.
More interesting facts are revealed under DADF Project: Brucellosis Control Programme headed by R Shome, M Nagalingam and P Roy at National Institute of Veterinary Epidemiology and Disease Investigation, Bengaluru (https://nivedi.res.in/sites/default/files/2019-03/NIVEDI_Annual_Report_2017-18.pdf), that Brucellosis prevalence is decreasing significantly in India over last one decade. Sero-prevalence of brucellosis from 2006 to 2010 was 9.4% and while from 2011 to 2017 it was just 5.9% only. This trend indicated that the disease may die soon in a decade or two automatically. Probably by 2025, India will be free of brucellosis as envisaged by the Government of India. Good luck to livestock owners.
In another report, the same Institute reported that the seroprevalence of brucellosis in animals has risen from 8% in 1994-2004 to 21% in 2004-05 and 22% in 2005-06 (PD-ADMAS, 2005-6).
Another department of the same ministry, the National Dairy Development Board speaks differently about the same disease, Brucellosis. Brucellosis is rampant in animals and humans in India and specifically in Gujrat where 27.5% of veterinarians of the state are positive for brucellosis and 16.1% and 19.6% of dairy animals of Kheda and Kutch districts (the hub of Gujrat Dairying) are positive for brucellosis (Rana, NDDB, 2018).
Day by day it is getting difficult to understand the actual burden of the disease because the jugglery of data appears to have only one aim, to create confusion and confusion only.


In 2015-16 the number of FMD cases was the least probably due to the Report on the Substandard quality of the FMD Vaccine reported in 2014-15 and vaccine producers might be conscious of the quality but now again the same.


What do the above figure and digits indicate?
1.       Outbreaks are now much bigger than used to be earlier affecting more animals, why? No investigation done despite the ongoing very dear FMD-CP for decades.
2.       Number of FMD cases is not decreasing despite spending about 500 crores every year in FMD-CP for decades, why? No investigation done despite the ongoing very dear FMD-CP for decades.
3.       FMD-CP is successful, how? Nobody knows and tried to understand the dilemma despite having >2500 cases of FMD yearly.
The bigger question is livestock economics told to people for FMD when in the last 11 years the average number of FMD cases is about 25000 and of which only less than 7% of animals died how the annual loss incurred was 20000 Crore every year? Does each of the animals suffering from FMD value at the rate of Rs. 80 Lacs? What kind of animals we are rearing for the cause of FMD, only the Ministry of DADF knows. To whom these people are bluffing, are they nationalist or antinational only PMO can decide.
Yet another problem of livestock economics is the loss figures not changing in the last decade but every year FMD-CP is declared successful and year after year budget is increased. Who may answer the question?

Now we come to another devastating disease of livestock in India causing loss of more than FMD (R. 20400 Crore per year), figures from the last 11 years indicated that on average about 121 cases of brucellosis are reported each year but it is necessary to run a National control program worth 13,343 crores even when the disease is reported just in six states of India (Assam, Karnataka, Kerala, Jammu & Kashmir, Rajasthan and Uttar Pradesh) in last three years (https://pib.gov.in/newsite/PrintRelease.aspx?relid=190624). Now the interesting facts about the disease are:
1.     The disease affects only those 121 animals every year which are valued at more than Rs. 180 Crore each (to cause the loss of Rs. 20400 Crore). In which elite dairy such animals are kept only DADF can reveal.
2.     Any livestock farmer hardly knows about the ambitious Brucellosis Control Program or testing of their animals but the program is running successfully to utilize Rs. 13,343 in the coming four years.
Though it is envisaged that by 2025 both Brucellosis and FMD will be out of India and by 2030 people may forget that there was any such disease after their eradication, I am sure that it will happen in the regime of the honest Government of India but fear that probably honest people will vanish by that time to see the outcome.
Will PMO-India question the bluffers and traitors of India sitting in Krishi Bhavan, New Delhi in comfortable chairs stabbing Mother India inside her womb for the last several decades through jugglery of fake data or cooked data or data created for predefined purposes? Certainly not, this letter of mine may also go into the trash (as several others have gone earlier) but due to my bad habit I may write one more and again one more.

And finally see, how the case has been handled at PMO!!!!!!!
 And then I wrote!!!!  
How A grievance can be a closed case without taking action against the concerned. Is it the Nationalism of PMO India? I had a hope that responsible people bluffing India will be punished. Alas, Nothing changed.